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Qual 542018 Istanbul Regional
Red111
729195.9
6436111.7
2905111.7
Blue227
7296106.5
729298.2
7035106.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2712190100300400500600111227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2905
#17
111.70.4
119.6→119.2
Auto11.9
Teleop88.1
End10.4
red by 5.1
7035
#19
106.61.1
106.2→107.3
Auto13.5
Teleop91.6
End-0.7
Second
6436
#25
111.71.5
111.2→112.6
Auto14.9
Teleop89.0
End9.3
red by 5.2
7296
#18
106.50.3
103.2→103.5
Auto14.1
Teleop83.0
End5.7
Third
7291
#26
95.92.3
103.5→101.3
Auto13.8
Teleop74.4
End8.3
blue by 2.3
7292
#37
98.21.5
104.8→103.3
Auto12.8
Teleop78.2
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
10%Auto Quest oddsMissed8%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed