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Red224
7295110.6
6415134.8
5665112.1
Blue287
6038129.7
5558100.5
3646162.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions238308100200400500224287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
134.82.7
127.2130.0
Auto15.7
Teleop109.0
End8.3
blue by 27.7
162.52.2
156.6158.8
Auto24.6
Teleop117.2
End20.0
Second
5665
#30
112.12.4
107.1109.5
Auto12.6
Teleop80.4
End22.0
blue by 17.6
129.72.4
120.4122.7
Auto14.4
Teleop98.8
End19.1
Third
7295
#21
110.60.3
107.9107.5
Auto13.4
Teleop89.9
End8.4
red by 10.1
5558
#33DQ
100.52.3
96.098.3
Auto11.8
Teleop77.5
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
7%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed