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Red562
7239116.0
6014129.0
6985150.2
Blue158
7035106.6
6064101.2
7086122.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions307231100200400500562158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
150.22.7
135.6138.3
Auto21.1
Teleop112.4
End17.4
red by 27.7
7086
#12
122.50.9
120.7121.6
Auto12.4
Teleop94.6
End17.1
Second
129.02.5
121.6124.1
Auto15.2
Teleop100.3
End14.7
red by 22.4
7035
#19
106.60.9
107.3108.2
Auto13.5
Teleop91.6
End-0.7
Third
7239
#24
116.00.1
109.9110.0
Auto14.2
Teleop90.4
End12.7
red by 14.7
6064
#29
101.21.5
105.5104.0
Auto15.6
Teleop80.4
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsEarned12%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed