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Red164
722797.7
5558100.5
6436111.7
Blue178
5665112.1
6989119.2
4191120.7
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1863240100400500600164178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6436
#25
111.70.8
112.7111.9
Auto14.9
Teleop89.0
End9.3
blue by 9.0
120.73.2
114.0117.1
Auto11.4
Teleop98.1
End11.9
Second
5558
#33
100.51.3
98.399.6
Auto11.8
Teleop77.5
End11.0
blue by 18.7
6989
#16
119.21.5
116.8118.4
Auto15.9
Teleop89.8
End15.5
Third
7227
#35
97.71.3
99.998.6
Auto14.1
Teleop73.7
End5.4
blue by 14.4
5665
#30
112.12.0
109.5111.5
Auto12.6
Teleop80.4
End22.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
7%Auto Quest oddsMissed10%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed