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Red168
6014129.0
7108116.4
7296106.5
Blue133
7071107.0
6989119.2
722797.7
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2372680100200300400500600168133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
129.018.2
54.873.0
Auto15.2
Teleop100.3
End14.7
red by 9.8
6989
#16
119.214.8
77.792.6
Auto15.9
Teleop89.8
End15.5
Second
7108
#23
116.413.3
77.791.1
Auto13.5
Teleop89.8
End13.2
red by 9.4
7071
#10
107.011.9
77.789.7
Auto14.6
Teleop88.3
End6.1
Third
7296
#18
106.59.1
77.786.8
Auto14.1
Teleop83.0
End5.7
red by 8.8
7227
#35
97.710.6
77.788.3
Auto14.1
Teleop73.7
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed