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Red222
7290104.0
4191120.7
7293126.0
Blue282
2905111.7
6985150.2
623297.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions281255100150200300350400450222282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7293
#20
126.01.1
122.8123.9
Auto15.1
Teleop94.7
End17.5
blue by 24.2
150.23.3
141.3144.6
Auto21.1
Teleop112.4
End17.4
Second
120.71.5
117.1118.6
Auto11.4
Teleop98.1
End11.9
red by 9.0
2905
#17
111.72.9
116.5113.6
Auto11.9
Teleop88.1
End10.4
Third
7290
#34
104.01.6
105.6104.0
Auto15.4
Teleop80.8
End5.4
red by 7.0
6232
#27
97.01.2
98.497.3
Auto13.5
Teleop72.7
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
10%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed