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Semifinal 2-32018 Istanbul Regional
Red235
7035106.6
6985150.2
7295110.6
Blue223
4191120.7
6415134.8
5655109.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26228304006008001,0001,2001,4001,600235223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6985
#3
150.20.8
147.9→148.8
Auto21.1
Teleop112.4
End17.4
red by 15.3
6415
#5
134.80.2
134.6→134.8
Auto15.7
Teleop109.0
End8.3
Second
7295
#21
110.60.5
109.3→109.8
Auto13.4
Teleop89.9
End8.4
blue by 10.1
4191
#7
120.70.4
120.3→120.7
Auto11.4
Teleop98.1
End11.9
Third
7035
#19
106.60.2
107.1→107.0
Auto13.5
Teleop91.6
End-0.7
blue by 2.5
5655
#28
109.10.2
109.3→109.1
Auto13.6
Teleop90.6
End4.0