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Red373
1296162.3
2655176.8
1533198.7
Blue280
2642207.1
987190.5
2122217.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3104490100200400500600700800373280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1533
#10
198.70.3
198.4198.7
Auto24.3
Teleop143.9
End33.3
blue by 18.3
217.00.5
217.5217.0
Auto24.5
Teleop155.4
End34.3
Second
2655
#55
176.80.0
176.8176.8
Auto24.6
Teleop135.5
End17.0
blue by 30.2
2642
#25
207.10.4
207.5207.1
Auto20.7
Teleop157.2
End25.6
Third
1296
#45
162.30.2
162.1162.3
Auto19.0
Teleop127.2
End17.2
blue by 28.2
987
#3
190.50.1
190.6190.5
Auto22.2
Teleop136.0
End32.9