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Red216
2130183.1
5986154.3
6445143.2
Blue386
4984160.0
987190.5
2231166.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions329354200300400500600216386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2130
#30
183.10.8
182.2182.9
Auto22.3
Teleop134.2
End25.7
blue by 7.5
987
#3
190.51.4
187.8189.2
Auto22.2
Teleop136.0
End32.9
Second
5986
#31
154.30.5
154.8154.3
Auto18.6
Teleop123.6
End11.8
blue by 12.1
2231
#15
166.40.8
167.4166.6
Auto23.4
Teleop135.4
End5.8
Third
6445
#58
143.20.4
142.9143.2
Auto14.6
Teleop112.7
End17.3
blue by 16.8
4984
#37
160.00.8
160.8160.0
Auto17.1
Teleop113.9
End29.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsEarned88%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed41%Face the Boss oddsEarned