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Red244
4561192.2
4603149.6
2848172.4
Blue408
5716125.6
3663169.6
842206.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions329363100200300400500244408

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4561
#27
192.20.9
193.5192.6
Auto21.6
Teleop143.6
End21.3
blue by 14.4
842
#7
206.50.8
204.4205.2
Auto25.8
Teleop158.0
End20.5
Second
2848
#35
172.41.6
176.7175.1
Auto23.6
Teleop129.5
End14.9
red by 2.8
3663
#18
169.60.1
169.5169.6
Auto20.7
Teleop125.6
End22.0
Third
4603
#57
149.60.1
149.4149.6
Auto16.3
Teleop120.2
End12.6
red by 24.0
5716
#63
125.61.0
126.6125.6
Auto16.8
Teleop95.1
End10.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsEarned81%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed