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Red255
3512192.5
6445143.2
2341148.5
Blue465
2848172.4
2122217.0
4189159.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2794510100200400500600700800255465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192.51.6
181.8183.3
Auto18.1
Teleop141.0
End31.4
blue by 24.5
217.01.0
219.9220.8
Auto24.5
Teleop155.4
End34.3
Second
2341
#32
148.51.3
147.1148.4
Auto18.0
Teleop110.9
End21.4
blue by 23.8
2848
#35
172.40.9
180.6179.7
Auto23.6
Teleop129.5
End14.9
Third
6445
#58
143.20.9
139.7140.6
Auto14.6
Teleop112.7
End17.3
blue by 16.0
4189
#24
159.20.5
159.7160.3
Auto20.5
Teleop121.1
End15.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
67%Auto Quest oddsMissed97%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
18%Face the Boss oddsMissed57%Face the Boss oddsEarned