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Red251
2658152.1
5045139.1
1533198.7
Blue429
1806185.3
6131149.6
2557192.6
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions321407100200500600700800251429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1533
#10
198.70.9
192.4193.3
Auto24.3
Teleop143.9
End33.3
red by 6.1
192.61.2
186.3187.6
Auto20.7
Teleop143.9
End28.5
Second
2658
#50
152.10.1
152.4152.5
Auto19.7
Teleop112.7
End20.6
blue by 33.1
185.31.4
173.7175.2
Auto21.5
Teleop140.6
End24.2
Third
5045
#29
139.10.5
133.6134.1
Auto22.6
Teleop102.3
End16.5
blue by 10.5
6131
#22
149.60.9
146.3147.1
Auto20.1
Teleop103.9
End24.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned83%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
15%Face the Boss oddsEarned9%Face the Boss oddsEarned