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Red256
1318203.6
682295.3
4698143.7
Blue455
2122217.0
2471201.5
3847171.0
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2194920400600800256455

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1318
#16
203.60.8
203.5202.7
Auto23.3
Teleop146.6
End33.5
blue by 13.4
217.01.3
218.6219.9
Auto24.5
Teleop155.4
End34.3
Second
4698
#42
143.70.6
148.0147.5
Auto16.0
Teleop107.3
End19.7
blue by 57.8
2471
#14
201.50.8
203.0203.8
Auto21.4
Teleop145.8
End32.5
Third
6822
#47
95.30.2
97.397.5
Auto15.2
Teleop75.7
End7.7
blue by 75.8
3847
#11
171.02.6
161.5164.1
Auto24.8
Teleop129.5
End19.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
13%Face the Boss oddsMissed83%Face the Boss oddsEarned