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Red354
6888119.1
120168.1
1806185.3
Blue403
6445143.2
2231166.4
3847171.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions310365100200400500600700354403

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
185.31.7
175.2176.8
Auto21.5
Teleop140.6
End24.2
red by 14.2
3847
#11
171.02.0
164.1166.1
Auto24.8
Teleop129.5
End19.6
Second
120
#26
168.11.0
165.0166.0
Auto23.1
Teleop123.0
End23.9
red by 1.7
2231
#15
166.40.7
166.1166.8
Auto23.4
Teleop135.4
End5.8
Third
6888
#59
119.10.5
113.4113.9
Auto17.1
Teleop94.7
End10.8
blue by 24.1
6445
#58
143.20.4
140.6140.9
Auto14.6
Teleop112.7
End17.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsMissed85%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed