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Red431
5584184.2
1806185.3
2471201.5
Blue154
7079145.9
5908119.0
4627124.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4811760100300400600700800431154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2471
#14
201.51.2
204.1202.9
Auto21.4
Teleop145.8
End32.5
red by 55.6
7079
#52
145.90.7
147.1146.4
Auto17.4
Teleop109.5
End21.0
Second
185.31.8
176.8178.6
Auto21.5
Teleop140.6
End24.2
red by 61.1
4627
#62
124.20.3
125.1124.8
Auto17.7
Teleop91.9
End11.8
Third
5584
#19
184.20.5
180.5181.0
Auto24.4
Teleop128.4
End31.3
red by 65.2
5908
#65
119.00.0
120.6120.5
Auto17.2
Teleop90.8
End12.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest oddsEarned46%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
58%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed