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Red374
5449135.4
1533198.7
3218172.2
Blue225
2655176.8
1102194.1
6941126.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36134001,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,500374225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1533
#10
198.70.7
193.8194.5
Auto24.3
Teleop143.9
End33.3
red by 4.6
1102
#49
194.10.5
203.5204.0
Auto18.3
Teleop146.9
End27.3
Second
3218
#28
172.20.1
177.0176.9
Auto19.1
Teleop132.2
End19.4
blue by 4.6
2655
#55
176.80.0
183.3183.3
Auto24.6
Teleop135.5
End17.0
Third
5449
#48
135.42.0
143.9141.9
Auto18.4
Teleop108.4
End6.5
red by 8.8
6941
#36
126.70.2
128.3128.1
Auto19.2
Teleop96.4
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsEarned82%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
24%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed