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Red300
4941157.4
2102152.6
2557192.6
Blue431
2059211.0
4603149.6
3478211.0
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293415100200500600700300431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192.60.0
190.1190.1
Auto20.7
Teleop143.9
End28.5
blue by 18.3
3478
#13
211.00.4
207.6208.0
Auto25.7
Teleop160.7
End22.4
Second
4941
#60
157.40.9
159.6158.8
Auto17.7
Teleop122.9
End15.2
blue by 53.6
2059
#21
211.00.9
212.9212.0
Auto24.8
Teleop171.1
End13.8
Third
152.60.2
148.3148.5
Auto21.3
Teleop114.3
End17.4
red by 3.0
4603
#57
149.60.6
146.9147.6
Auto16.3
Teleop120.2
End12.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest oddsEarned90%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed