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Red296
3593147.8
4984160.0
3512192.5
Blue425
2557192.6
6941126.7
2471201.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions301392100200500600296425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192.50.6
186.3186.9
Auto18.1
Teleop141.0
End31.4
blue by 9.0
2471
#14
201.51.2
202.0200.8
Auto21.4
Teleop145.8
End32.5
Second
4984
#37
160.00.6
163.8163.2
Auto17.1
Teleop113.9
End29.5
blue by 32.7
192.60.2
190.1190.3
Auto20.7
Teleop143.9
End28.5
Third
3593
#61
147.81.1
153.5152.5
Auto20.4
Teleop113.4
End12.9
red by 21.1
6941
#36
126.70.1
127.0127.1
Auto19.2
Teleop96.4
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsEarned71%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
29%Face the Boss oddsMissed61%Face the Boss oddsEarned