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Red223
5584184.2
3847171.0
1296162.3
Blue467
2341148.5
5986154.3
842206.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions356344100200300400500600700223467

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5584
#19
184.21.0
182.5183.5
Auto24.4
Teleop128.4
End31.3
blue by 22.4
842
#7
206.50.3
201.9201.7
Auto25.8
Teleop158.0
End20.5
Second
3847
#11
171.00.9
170.1171.0
Auto24.8
Teleop129.5
End19.6
red by 16.7
5986
#31
154.30.1
151.2151.3
Auto18.6
Teleop123.6
End11.8
Third
1296
#45
162.30.4
166.2165.8
Auto19.0
Teleop127.2
End17.2
red by 13.8
2341
#32
148.50.8
150.4149.7
Auto18.0
Teleop110.9
End21.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned82%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed