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Red268
2637142.7
6131149.6
5584184.2
Blue418
6445143.2
3663169.6
1744147.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions338356150200250300400450500550268418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5584
#19
184.21.4
178.6180.0
Auto24.4
Teleop128.4
End31.3
red by 14.6
3663
#18
169.60.3
161.7162.1
Auto20.7
Teleop125.6
End22.0
Second
6131
#22
149.61.6
144.7146.3
Auto20.1
Teleop103.9
End24.8
red by 2.5
1744
#51
147.10.6
153.9154.5
Auto19.0
Teleop112.8
End12.4
Third
2637
#64
142.70.2
149.8149.5
Auto20.8
Teleop111.7
End9.4
blue by 0.5
6445
#58
143.20.1
139.5139.7
Auto14.6
Teleop112.7
End17.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest oddsEarned60%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed