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Red479
2471201.5
842206.5
987190.5
Blue205
2658152.1
5716125.6
6952129.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4881960100300400600700800479205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
842
#7
206.50.3
201.7202.0
Auto25.8
Teleop158.0
End20.5
red by 54.4
2658
#50
152.10.6
150.7151.3
Auto19.7
Teleop112.7
End20.6
Second
2471
#14
201.50.5
200.8200.4
Auto21.4
Teleop145.8
End32.5
red by 71.7
6952
#33
129.80.8
127.6128.4
Auto17.4
Teleop95.0
End18.7
Third
987
#3
190.51.1
184.3185.3
Auto22.2
Teleop136.0
End32.9
red by 65.0
5716
#63
125.60.3
128.6128.3
Auto16.8
Teleop95.1
End10.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest oddsEarned39%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
58%Face the Boss oddsEarned6%Face the Boss oddsMissed