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Red337
2231166.4
2122217.0
4603149.6
Blue296
2046212.3
2637142.7
5522146.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3823020100200500600700337296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217.00.6
223.0222.4
Auto24.5
Teleop155.4
End34.3
red by 4.8
2046
#41
212.30.9
213.0212.1
Auto22.6
Teleop166.9
End20.0
Second
2231
#15
166.40.0
168.1168.1
Auto23.4
Teleop135.4
End5.8
red by 19.9
5522
#53
146.50.1
148.2148.3
Auto19.3
Teleop111.8
End13.3
Third
4603
#57
149.60.1
150.3150.1
Auto16.3
Teleop120.2
End12.6
red by 6.8
2637
#64
142.71.4
145.9144.5
Auto20.8
Teleop111.7
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsMissed77%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
57%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed