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Red236
1533198.7
5344109.6
364197.2
Blue391
2102152.6
2471201.5
5045139.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions376348200300500600700236391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1533
#10
198.70.9
197.4198.3
Auto24.3
Teleop143.9
End33.3
blue by 2.8
2471
#14
201.50.1
200.4200.3
Auto21.4
Teleop145.8
End32.5
Second
364
#23
197.20.5
198.7199.2
Auto24.0
Teleop145.8
End24.7
red by 44.7
152.60.7
148.9149.6
Auto21.3
Teleop114.3
End17.4
Third
5344
#43
109.61.1
108.1109.2
Auto14.5
Teleop86.8
End10.8
blue by 29.5
5045
#29
139.10.9
135.9136.9
Auto22.6
Teleop102.3
End16.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest oddsMissed90%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
19%Face the Boss oddsMissed38%Face the Boss oddsMissed