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Red375
1296162.3
2655176.8
1533198.7
Blue335
1102194.1
3512192.5
3478211.0
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304442100200400500600700375335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1533
#10
198.70.2
197.5197.8
Auto24.3
Teleop143.9
End33.3
blue by 12.3
3478
#13
211.00.2
211.2211.0
Auto25.7
Teleop160.7
End22.4
Second
2655
#55
176.80.1
177.0176.9
Auto24.6
Teleop135.5
End17.0
blue by 17.2
1102
#49
194.10.3
194.8194.5
Auto18.3
Teleop146.9
End27.3
Third
1296
#45
162.30.1
161.6161.8
Auto19.0
Teleop127.2
End17.2
blue by 30.2
192.50.2
192.2192.4
Auto18.1
Teleop141.0
End31.4