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Red483
1296162.3
2655176.8
1533198.7
Blue121
1102194.1
3512192.5
2231166.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3273940100200500600700483121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1533
#10
198.70.3
197.8198.0
Auto24.3
Teleop143.9
End33.3
red by 4.6
1102
#49
194.10.4
194.5194.1
Auto18.3
Teleop146.9
End27.3
Second
2655
#55
176.80.1
176.9176.8
Auto24.6
Teleop135.5
End17.0
blue by 15.7
192.50.1
192.4192.5
Auto18.1
Teleop141.0
End31.4
Third
1296
#45
162.30.1
161.8161.9
Auto19.0
Teleop127.2
End17.2
blue by 4.1
2231
#15
166.40.2
166.5166.4
Auto23.4
Teleop135.4
End5.8