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Red220
7179155.7
842206.5
1806185.3
Blue408
2642207.1
987190.5
2122217.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3463950200600800220408

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
842
#7
206.50.2
206.3206.5
Auto25.8
Teleop158.0
End20.5
blue by 10.5
217.00.4
218.3217.9
Auto24.5
Teleop155.4
End34.3
Second
185.30.3
184.9185.3
Auto21.5
Teleop140.6
End24.2
blue by 21.8
2642
#25
207.10.3
208.1207.8
Auto20.7
Teleop157.2
End25.6
Third
7179
#38
155.70.2
155.5155.7
Auto18.3
Teleop116.1
End21.6
blue by 34.9
987
#3
190.50.0
190.5190.6
Auto22.2
Teleop136.0
End32.9