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Red396
118202.5
148213.7
2789114.2
Blue266
2848174.9
3005183.2
2723133.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions415334100200300500600700396266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#1
213.71.1
212.5213.7
Auto23.5
Teleop147.2
End43.7
red by 30.5
183.20.7
182.5183.2
Auto23.7
Teleop131.9
End27.8
Second
118
#2
202.50.8
201.6202.5
Auto29.1
Teleop139.1
End35.0
red by 27.6
174.90.2
174.6174.9
Auto22.8
Teleop127.0
End24.4
Third
2789
#36
114.20.1
114.3114.2
Auto14.2
Teleop88.2
End7.7
blue by 19.5
2723
#18
133.70.6
133.1133.7
Auto15.4
Teleop103.7
End14.7