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Quarterfinal 2-22018 Dallas Regional
Red190
1296155.3
5431145.7
6672129.4
Blue281
7179135.6
3179138.2
1255112.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3422600100200300400500600190281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1296
#12
155.30.5
154.5→155.0
Auto20.0
Teleop117.6
End17.2
red by 17.1
3179
#8
138.20.2
137.1→137.3
Auto19.3
Teleop102.2
End19.3
Second
5431
#7
145.70.9
144.2→145.1
Auto19.1
Teleop103.5
End23.4
red by 10.1
7179
#13
135.60.8
132.5→133.3
Auto14.0
Teleop108.2
End16.0
Third
6672
#26
129.41.0
127.7→128.7
Auto14.6
Teleop100.6
End17.3
red by 16.5
1255
#29
112.90.1
112.6→112.6
Auto18.3
Teleop88.8
End8.8