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Quarterfinal 2-32018 Dallas Regional
Red234
1296155.3
5431145.7
6672129.4
Blue278
7179135.6
3179138.2
1255112.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3312640100200300400500600234278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1296
#12
155.30.3
155.0→155.3
Auto20.0
Teleop117.6
End17.2
red by 17.1
3179
#8
138.20.3
137.3→137.5
Auto19.3
Teleop102.2
End19.3
Second
5431
#7
145.70.6
145.1→145.7
Auto19.1
Teleop103.5
End23.4
red by 10.1
7179
#13
135.60.8
133.3→134.0
Auto14.0
Teleop108.2
End16.0
Third
6672
#26
129.40.7
128.7→129.4
Auto14.6
Teleop100.6
End17.3
red by 16.5
1255
#29
112.90.0
112.6→112.6
Auto18.3
Teleop88.8
End8.8