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Red328
2805119.8
3593142.4
7120124.2
Blue129
5431145.7
5960118.8
712585.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2612950100200400500328129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3593
#10
142.415.1
82.597.7
Auto21.1
Teleop106.3
End16.1
blue by 3.3
145.713.7
96.0109.7
Auto19.1
Teleop103.5
End23.4
Second
7120
#21
124.246.4
124.277.7
Auto14.4
Teleop101.6
End7.5
red by 5.4
5960
#39
118.815.6
78.293.8
Auto16.1
Teleop91.1
End11.3
Third
2805
#27
119.816.9
66.483.3
Auto16.8
Teleop91.5
End12.5
red by 34.5
7125
#60
85.37.6
85.377.7
Auto11.6
Teleop69.8
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed