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Red253
6646114.3
2723133.7
7179135.6
Blue178
2341131.3
3355124.2
5411101.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions268266150200250300350400450253178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7179
#13
135.68.8
91.7100.5
Auto14.0
Teleop108.2
End16.0
red by 4.3
2341
#32
131.36.5
107.8114.3
Auto17.9
Teleop99.1
End15.9
Second
2723
#18
133.75.4
99.0104.4
Auto15.4
Teleop103.7
End14.7
red by 9.5
124.28.8
90.299.1
Auto17.2
Teleop97.5
End11.2
Third
6646
#46
114.33.6
104.9108.5
Auto14.4
Teleop85.7
End17.2
red by 12.9
5411
#59
101.44.4
98.2102.6
Auto13.6
Teleop79.7
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed