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Red214
3593142.4
3802154.5
6369112.5
Blue347
5639111.5
148213.7
3037106.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions285294100150200250350400450500214347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
154.57.0
123.3130.3
Auto21.1
Teleop118.7
End14.7
blue by 59.2
148
#1
213.79.1
156.6165.7
Auto23.5
Teleop147.2
End43.7
Second
3593
#10
142.44.5
117.7122.2
Auto21.1
Teleop106.3
End16.1
red by 30.8
5639
#56
111.52.2
102.7104.9
Auto13.1
Teleop87.4
End10.9
Third
6369
#44
112.52.2
119.5121.7
Auto20.1
Teleop88.4
End0.3
red by 5.6
3037
#50
106.94.8
94.799.5
Auto12.8
Teleop83.1
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest oddsEarned29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsEarned