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Qual 382018 Dallas Regional
Red122
2164121.7
7091110.9
3179138.2
Blue245
6671117.6
7179135.6
6655112.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions295221100400500122245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3179
#8
138.26.0
112.6→118.6
Auto19.3
Teleop102.2
End19.3
red by 2.6
7179
#13
135.66.5
100.5→107.0
Auto14.0
Teleop108.2
End16.0
Second
2164
#37
121.73.3
116.6→119.9
Auto18.1
Teleop93.1
End10.7
red by 4.1
6671
#40
117.66.7
94.8→101.5
Auto14.8
Teleop94.1
End7.5
Third
7091
#24
110.94.7
100.5→105.2
Auto15.0
Teleop84.8
End15.3
blue by 1.6
6655
#17
112.42.1
99.6→101.7
Auto16.5
Teleop84.0
End14.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsEarned29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed