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Qual 482018 Dallas Regional
Red259
675185.5
2789114.2
2341131.3
Blue241
5639111.5
6768101.3
5431145.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions243282100200400500259241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2341
#32
131.32.7
117.0→119.7
Auto17.9
Teleop99.1
End15.9
blue by 14.4
5431
#7
145.75.8
121.9→127.7
Auto19.1
Teleop103.5
End23.4
Second
2789
#36
114.25.1
100.3→105.4
Auto14.2
Teleop88.2
End7.7
red by 2.6
5639
#56
111.53.3
104.9→108.2
Auto13.1
Teleop87.4
End10.9
Third
6751
#58
85.51.6
88.2→89.9
Auto12.8
Teleop68.2
End3.8
blue by 15.8
6768
#54
101.32.2
98.8→101.0
Auto14.2
Teleop78.6
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed