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Red128
1477136.6
5960118.8
1745116.2
Blue423
7303113.2
3005183.2
1296155.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284322100200400500128423

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
#47
136.63.6
132.3136.0
Auto14.6
Teleop107.8
End12.6
blue by 46.6
183.27.9
149.6157.5
Auto23.7
Teleop131.9
End27.8
Second
5960
#39
118.86.4
113.9120.3
Auto16.1
Teleop91.1
End11.3
blue by 36.5
1296
#12
155.32.4
140.0142.4
Auto20.0
Teleop117.6
End17.2
Third
1745
#51
116.24.1
114.2118.2
Auto14.5
Teleop88.0
End11.3
red by 3.0
7303
#15
113.23.0
100.5103.5
Auto17.2
Teleop87.8
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed59%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed