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Red393
3802154.5
5889128.3
118202.5
Blue159
4192128.7
7119101.7
5682121.1
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3702100100300400500600393159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#2
202.54.5
176.4180.9
Auto29.1
Teleop139.1
End35.0
red by 73.8
4192
#22
128.75.5
117.2122.7
Auto18.7
Teleop103.4
End4.5
Second
154.54.6
134.0138.6
Auto21.1
Teleop118.7
End14.7
red by 33.5
5682
#30
121.12.1
122.3124.4
Auto18.0
Teleop88.1
End13.3
Third
5889
#11
128.35.0
110.3115.3
Auto16.8
Teleop104.5
End7.8
red by 26.6
7119
#49
101.70.7
102.6103.2
Auto15.8
Teleop82.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
77%Auto Quest oddsEarned22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed