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Red399
3179138.2
5431145.7
148213.7
Blue84
5411101.4
712585.3
4206138.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424173010030050060070039984

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#1
213.78.9
173.7182.6
Auto23.5
Teleop147.2
End43.7
red by 74.9
4206
#14
138.83.5
134.6138.1
Auto20.7
Teleop106.5
End11.2
Second
145.74.2
127.7131.9
Auto19.1
Teleop103.5
End23.4
red by 44.3
5411
#59
101.40.5
104.1103.7
Auto13.6
Teleop79.7
End10.8
Third
138.22.6
121.1123.7
Auto19.3
Teleop102.2
End19.3
red by 52.8
7125
#60
85.30.4
88.087.6
Auto11.6
Teleop69.8
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
67%Auto Quest oddsEarned19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
22%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed