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Qual 702018 Dallas Regional
Red177
2789114.2
4206138.8
5960118.8
Blue296
5212121.4
6901108.2
6672129.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3142420100200400500600177296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4206
#14
138.80.6
138.1→138.7
Auto20.7
Teleop106.5
End11.2
red by 9.4
6672
#26
129.41.4
120.4→121.7
Auto14.6
Teleop100.6
End17.3
Second
5960
#39
118.81.7
120.3→121.9
Auto16.1
Teleop91.1
End11.3
blue by 2.6
5212
#23
121.43.1
112.6→115.7
Auto14.9
Teleop90.7
End17.1
Third
2789
#36
114.22.9
109.9→112.8
Auto14.2
Teleop88.2
End7.7
red by 5.9
6901
#34
108.22.4
99.5→101.9
Auto14.7
Teleop88.2
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsEarned13%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed