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Qual 722018 Dallas Regional
Red170
1255112.9
6369112.5
5411101.4
Blue309
2848174.9
7120124.2
6321104.1
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions206319100400500600170309

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1255
#29
112.90.2
113.7→113.5
Auto18.3
Teleop88.8
End8.8
blue by 62.0
2848
#4
174.92.1
167.7→169.7
Auto22.8
Teleop127.0
End24.4
Second
6369
#44
112.53.4
118.8→115.4
Auto20.1
Teleop88.4
End0.3
blue by 11.7
7120
#21
124.21.3
121.4→122.7
Auto14.4
Teleop101.6
End7.5
Third
5411
#59
101.40.2
101.8→101.9
Auto13.6
Teleop79.7
End10.8
blue by 2.7
6321
#20
104.10.6
102.7→103.3
Auto15.6
Teleop81.1
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsMissed42%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed