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Red134
2789114.2
1745116.2
5775111.1
Blue386
3802154.5
7319103.2
7179135.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1903160100400500600134386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1745
#51
116.21.1
118.5117.3
Auto14.5
Teleop88.0
End11.3
blue by 38.3
154.53.1
143.2146.3
Auto21.1
Teleop118.7
End14.7
Second
2789
#36
114.21.0
112.8113.8
Auto14.2
Teleop88.2
End7.7
blue by 21.4
7179
#13
135.64.0
123.2127.2
Auto14.0
Teleop108.2
End16.0
Third
5775
#38
111.10.7
112.8112.0
Auto15.0
Teleop89.8
End4.3
red by 7.8
7319
#33
103.22.0
98.3100.3
Auto12.2
Teleop82.9
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
9%Auto Quest oddsEarned28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed