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Quarterfinal 3-12018 El Paso Regional
Red324
3481151.9
4183162.5
7059128.2
Blue174
4735125.1
1817132.2
6133119.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363288100200400500600324174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4183
#3
162.50.6
160.3→160.8
Auto25.5
Teleop121.8
End15.2
red by 30.3
1817
#10
132.20.6
130.5→131.2
Auto16.0
Teleop101.7
End17.8
Second
3481
#6
151.90.6
149.6→150.2
Auto18.7
Teleop117.9
End18.6
red by 26.8
4735
#11
125.10.4
123.9→124.4
Auto15.5
Teleop93.1
End15.0
Third
7059
#24
128.20.1
128.9→128.8
Auto17.9
Teleop95.9
End14.8
red by 8.4
6133
#17
119.80.4
118.8→119.2
Auto15.9
Teleop87.6
End17.2