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Qual 102018 El Paso Regional
Red235
6200148.6
6171122.7
5866113.1
Blue389
5431164.9
3545109.8
4063149.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2393350100200400500600700800235389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6200
#8
148.61.0
129.6→130.6
Auto18.0
Teleop111.9
End19.4
blue by 16.2
5431
#5
164.91.3
147.1→148.4
Auto23.7
Teleop117.6
End21.4
Second
6171
#20
122.70.3
115.4→115.1
Auto15.6
Teleop95.0
End11.9
blue by 26.7
4063
#15
149.41.8
139.1→140.9
Auto22.7
Teleop113.4
End12.7
Third
5866
#35
113.10.1
111.1→111.2
Auto12.5
Teleop93.3
End7.4
red by 3.3
3545
#28
109.88.5
88.3→96.8
Auto15.6
Teleop83.8
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
6%Auto Quest oddsMissed72%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed12%Face the Boss oddsMissed