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Red211
5613126.7
6144113.7
3029115.8
Blue290
6171122.7
3158123.7
5783125.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions267285100200400500211290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5613
#26
126.71.6
121.3122.9
Auto17.0
Teleop94.6
End16.0
red by 1.7
5783
#19
125.00.3
116.5116.8
Auto17.0
Teleop92.7
End18.6
Second
3029
#34
115.85.9
92.798.6
Auto16.2
Teleop86.5
End16.1
blue by 7.9
3158
#13
123.71.5
114.8116.2
Auto18.2
Teleop92.1
End13.2
Third
6144
#29
113.75.1
98.5103.6
Auto16.2
Teleop89.0
End8.9
blue by 9.0
6171
#20
122.71.0
115.4116.3
Auto15.6
Teleop95.0
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed18%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed