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Red141
3029115.8
6133119.8
6974106.8
Blue463
1817132.2
6682127.3
3310206.8
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1943730100300500600141463

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6133
#17
119.80.7
116.2116.9
Auto15.9
Teleop87.6
End17.2
blue by 86.9
206.81.5
195.2196.7
Auto27.2
Teleop154.1
End21.7
Second
3029
#34
115.818.2
55.473.5
Auto16.2
Teleop86.5
End16.1
blue by 16.4
1817
#10
132.20.3
121.6121.2
Auto16.0
Teleop101.7
End17.8
Third
6974
#30
106.829.1
106.877.7
Auto16.2
Teleop86.9
End1.9
blue by 20.5
6682
#21
127.317.5
61.178.6
Auto15.9
Teleop95.9
End14.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed44%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsEarned