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Red291
5866113.1
6377136.3
1817132.2
Blue490
624199.6
3335131.1
5613126.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions239381100200300500600700291490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6377
#18
136.30.1
134.8134.8
Auto15.7
Teleop103.3
End16.4
blue by 63.2
624
#2
199.62.3
182.1184.3
Auto24.1
Teleop144.5
End34.1
Second
1817
#10
132.20.9
125.0125.9
Auto16.0
Teleop101.7
End17.8
red by 1.1
3335
#14
131.11.8
125.0126.8
Auto15.9
Teleop106.3
End10.1
Third
5866
#35
113.10.4
113.4113.7
Auto12.5
Teleop93.3
End7.4
blue by 13.6
5613
#26
126.70.9
124.9125.9
Auto17.0
Teleop94.6
End16.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed41%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed