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Red338
3310206.8
4378114.9
2613120.7
Blue322
6144113.7
6131144.7
4063149.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3612820100200400500600700338322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
206.80.4
207.7207.3
Auto27.2
Teleop154.1
End21.7
red by 57.4
4063
#15
149.40.3
148.9149.2
Auto22.7
Teleop113.4
End12.7
Second
2613
#22
120.70.3
122.0121.8
Auto16.3
Teleop94.5
End11.7
blue by 24.0
144.73.2
132.2135.4
Auto20.2
Teleop101.5
End26.7
Third
4378
#16
114.92.1
112.5114.6
Auto13.8
Teleop90.3
End8.5
red by 1.1
6144
#29
113.73.2
107.3110.5
Auto16.2
Teleop89.0
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsEarned69%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
13%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed