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Red229
6171122.7
2583110.7
3029115.8
Blue423
1164126.9
418154.2
3481151.9
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2013600100300400500600229423

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6171
#20
122.70.6
120.1120.7
Auto15.6
Teleop95.0
End11.9
blue by 31.5
418
#27
154.20.1
152.9153.0
Auto19.7
Teleop130.8
End4.3
Second
3029
#34
115.82.5
109.6112.1
Auto16.2
Teleop86.5
End16.1
blue by 36.1
151.90.0
145.5145.5
Auto18.7
Teleop117.9
End18.6
Third
2583
#33
110.72.9
104.5107.4
Auto16.3
Teleop85.1
End11.5
blue by 16.2
1164
#25
126.91.7
120.5122.2
Auto17.4
Teleop96.8
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed