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Red413
3545109.8
3335131.1
3481151.9
Blue276
5783125.0
6144113.7
6974106.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3372540100200300400500600413276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
151.91.4
146.5147.8
Auto18.7
Teleop117.9
End18.6
red by 26.9
5783
#19
125.01.1
122.2123.3
Auto17.0
Teleop92.7
End18.6
Second
3335
#14
131.11.2
128.5129.6
Auto15.9
Teleop106.3
End10.1
red by 17.3
6144
#29
113.70.4
112.9113.3
Auto16.2
Teleop89.0
End8.9
Third
3545
#28
109.80.4
109.6109.1
Auto15.6
Teleop83.8
End13.8
red by 3.0
6974
#30
106.80.2
105.9106.1
Auto16.2
Teleop86.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsMissed48%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed