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Red100
182897.9
3043120.6
4378114.9
Blue351
6377136.3
6171122.7
5431164.9
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2493630100200300400500100351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3043
#23
120.62.1
118.1120.2
Auto16.2
Teleop90.7
End14.7
blue by 44.2
164.91.6
160.5162.1
Auto23.7
Teleop117.6
End21.4
Second
4378
#16
114.90.6
114.8115.4
Auto13.8
Teleop90.3
End8.5
blue by 21.5
6377
#18
136.30.6
135.2135.8
Auto15.7
Teleop103.3
End16.4
Third
1828
#37
97.90.8
97.197.9
Auto12.6
Teleop81.0
End6.8
blue by 24.8
6171
#20
122.70.4
121.1121.5
Auto15.6
Teleop95.0
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
7%Auto Quest oddsMissed54%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed13%Face the Boss oddsMissed