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Red153
3335131.1
2468174.2
418154.2
Blue437
5344104.8
3310206.8
5431164.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335341200250300400153437

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
174.21.3
173.8175.1
Auto25.9
Teleop127.1
End22.2
blue by 32.6
206.80.2
206.0206.2
Auto27.2
Teleop154.1
End21.7
Second
418
#27
154.21.2
154.2155.4
Auto19.7
Teleop130.8
End4.3
blue by 10.7
164.91.4
162.1163.5
Auto23.7
Teleop117.6
End21.4
Third
3335
#14
131.11.6
129.6131.3
Auto15.9
Teleop106.3
End10.1
red by 26.3
5344
#32
104.80.7
103.2103.9
Auto14.3
Teleop81.5
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsMissed79%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed26%Face the Boss oddsMissed